ORDERTUNE Long only vs. NASDAQ100
Strategy Portfolio Performance until end of 2025. Chart shows equity curve based of different weigthing scenarios. All values are log scale.
Overall Statistics
Yearly portfolio metrics, incl. trading costs and slippage. Our Long Only strategy is engineered to outperform the Nasdaq100 through quantitative signal execution. We focus on high-conviction entries while aggressively managing downside risk. If the market conditions shift, we move to cash. Preservation is the first step to outperformance.
Year: -
| Position Sizing | avg. exposure % | annual Return % | max. system % drawdown | avg. system % drawdown | MAR Ratio |
|---|
Performance Matrix
ORDERTUNE Long only portfolio statistics, 2015-2025.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Yr% |
|---|
Performance is not an opinion; it is a calculation. Since 2015, the Ordertune Protocol has systematically identified high-probability signals by aggregating NYSE price movements daily after the close. By focusing exclusively on the highly liquid Nasdaq 100 universe, we eliminate the friction of slippage and excessive fees, ensuring that the alpha you see is the alpha you keep.
- Transparency First: Every trade in this ledger is a realized portfolio impact, presented without the camouflage of compounding effects.
- Custom Exposure: You decide your risk. Toggle between 3.0% (Cons.), 5.0% (Std.), or 7.5% (Prog.) to witness how statistical consistency outperforms the benchmark over time.
- The Alpha Edge: This matrix represents over a decade of data-driven execution, providing the only honest predictor of future success: Statistical Sovereignty.
Inside the Cockpit
Every Lever, Every Number, Explained
This page is not a marketing dashboard — it is the public audit log of the Ordertune algorithmic trading system. Nine systematic strategies trade the Nasdaq 100 universe, and every closed trade, monthly return, drawdown, and equity-curve datapoint you see below is rendered directly from the live signal database. There are no curated screenshots, no cherry-picked windows, no smoothed lines. The data refreshes daily after the U.S. equity market close.
The cockpit lets you re-slice that data four ways: by strategy, by position size, by time window, and by benchmark comparison. Below is what each lever does and why it matters when you are evaluating a quantitative trading signal service.
1. Equity Curve vs. Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
The headline chart plots the cumulative growth of the Ordertune long-only portfolio against the unleveraged Nasdaq 100 benchmark (QQQ ETF) on a logarithmic scale. The log scale matters: it makes a 2% return look the same regardless of whether your account is at $10,000 or $1,000,000, so you can read structural outperformance instead of being deceived by the visual exponential of late-stage compounding. The curve includes compounding effects, trading costs, and slippage; it is not a clean theoretical line. Periods where the curves cross are the moments where the system was simply matching the index — periods where they diverge are where systematic edge translated into real basis points.
2. Position-Size Toggle: 3.0% / 5.0% / 7.5%
A single trading signal can be sized prudently or aggressively, and the realized portfolio return scales accordingly. The Performance Matrix exposes three position-size scenarios so you can map the system to your own risk appetite without taking our word for it:
- 3.0% Conservative — A defensive sizing for traders whose primary objective is capital preservation. Lower CAGR, lower max drawdown, more stable monthly distribution.
- 5.0% Standard — The default Ordertune sizing. This is the configuration referenced in the headline KPIs and the published Sharpe and MAR ratios.
- 7.5% Progressive — A growth sizing for traders accepting larger drawdowns in exchange for compounding velocity. Use only if your risk tolerance and capital base support double-digit equity drawdowns without behavioral failure.
Switching between scenarios is non-destructive: it does not re-run a backtest, it re-weights the closed-trade history that already exists. The signals were identical across scenarios — only the dollar exposure per trade changed.
3. Monthly Performance Matrix (Calendar Heat Map)
The Performance Matrix is a year-by-month grid covering 2015 to the current trading day. Each cell is the realized portfolio return for that calendar month at the selected position-size scenario, anchored to the closing date of each trade. Reading the matrix top to bottom reveals annual consistency — how often the system delivered a positive year. Reading it left to right within a year reveals seasonality — whether the alpha is concentrated in specific months (e.g. earnings-season heavy months in Q1/Q3) or distributed. Annual totals on the right margin let you compare year-over-year against the QQQ benchmark in the same row.
4. Live Trading Ledger Drill-Down
Underneath the aggregate statistics sits the full trading ledger — every closed trade across all nine strategies. Each row contains the ticker, the entry date, the exit date, the position direction (long or short), the executed open and close prices, the percentage return, the holding period in days, and the originating strategy model. This is the most aggressive transparency posture a signal service can adopt: there is no way to hide a losing month if every losing trade is enumerated in the ledger. Use the table to verify spot prices against your own data vendor, to inspect concentration (is the alpha coming from five trades or five hundred?), and to confirm that the headline CAGR is the arithmetic sum of what actually happened. For a deeper machine-readable view see the complete trading ledger.
5. Strategy Filter
The strategy filter isolates a single model out of the nine-strategy portfolio so you can audit one engine at a time. The full Ordertune portfolio is a deliberate ensemble of orthogonal edges: mean reversion (The Weekly Pulse, The Trend Quality Rebound, The Selective Sniper, The Deep Dip Strategy, The Peak Reloader), intraday liquidity capture (The Intraday Liquidity Hunter), panic-phase contrarian entries (The Precision Panic Predator), long-term momentum (The Momentum Powerhouse), and risk-on/risk-off rotation (The Risk-Flow Arbitrage). Filtering by one strategy lets you see its standalone equity curve, drawdown profile, and trade frequency — which is exactly what you would need to underweight or overweight individual models inside your own capital allocation. The full methodology for each strategy is documented on the Trading Strategies page.
6. View Selection: Benchmark and Lookback
The view selector controls two independent axes: which benchmark you compare against (the absolute Ordertune curve, the QQQ benchmark, or the Ordertune outperformance spread) and which lookback window the chart renders (the full 2015-onwards history, the last 5 years, year-to-date, etc.). The reason these are separated: a strategy that beats the index over 11 years can still lose to it over any rolling 3-year window, and you should be able to see that. We do not hide negative spread periods. If the Ordertune curve underperformed QQQ during the 2023 mega-cap melt-up, that period is fully visible at the appropriate lookback — and the system also captures the longer arc where systematic risk control pays off in regime changes.
The Verdict: Mathematical Sovereignty
Stop chasing trends.Start trading the math.
Strategy Execution Explorer
Tactical equity simulation with a "Clean Start" logic. Unlike the Performance Matrix, this Explorer isolates results by only including trades both opened AND closed within the selected window. This prevents prior performance from distorting your timeframe. Logic: Impact per trade = Equity at Entry x Weight x Return. Real-time compounding applied. What you see is the raw truth of entering the market on Day 1.
Compounded Equity Growth
Strategy: Ordertune Green. Benchmark: Nasdaq 100 TR (Grey). Compounding ensures that realized impacts are added to capital available for subsequent trades.
Capital Exposure
Average percentage of capital actively deployed in positions per month.
Trading Results
Drawdown Profile
Visualizing equity drawdowns from the previous peak to the subsequent trough. Calculation based on Closed Long Trades.
The Execution Ledger
Granular log of all signals realized within the simulation period. Max 15 entries per page.
| Asset ID | Open | Close | Pos. | Return % | Impact | Model |
|---|
Glossary
Performance Metrics, Defined
The numbers on this page only mean something if you know what they measure. The definitions below are the same ones used by the CFA Institute, the literature on quantitative finance, and the practitioner standards in systematic trading. Where a number is presented on this page, it was calculated exactly as described here — without smoothing, without survivorship bias, and without restating the input series.
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)
The constant year-over-year rate at which the equity curve would have had to grow to move from the first datapoint to the last. CAGR is the single best summary of multi-year compounded return because it neutralises the start/end-date sensitivity of arithmetic averages.
Sharpe Ratio
Excess return over the risk-free rate divided by the standard deviation of portfolio returns, annualised. Sharpe rewards consistency: two strategies with identical CAGR but different volatility profiles will rank very differently here. A Sharpe above 1.0 is competitive; above 2.0 is institutional-grade.
MAR Ratio
Compound annual growth rate divided by the absolute value of the maximum drawdown. MAR answers the question „how much annual return did I get per unit of peak-to-trough pain?“ — a more practitioner-relevant risk-adjusted metric than Sharpe for retail and prop traders.
Profit Factor
Gross profit from winning trades divided by gross loss from losing trades. A profit factor above 1.0 means the system makes more than it loses; above 1.5 indicates a meaningfully positive edge after costs.
Max Drawdown
The largest peak-to-trough percentage decline in the equity curve over the measurement window. Max drawdown is the single number that predicts behavioural failure better than any other: if you cannot stomach the displayed maximum, you should not run the system at that position size.
Average System Drawdown
The average of all drawdown observations across the measurement window — not just the worst. Average drawdown captures the typical day-to-day equity discomfort a subscriber experiences, which is usually far more relevant than the worst case.
Average Market Exposure
The fraction of trading days on which the portfolio was holding at least one open position, weighted by capital deployed. Low market exposure with high CAGR is a hallmark of selective systems — the alpha is concentrated, and the rest of the time the capital sits idle (or in T-Bills).
Position Sizing
The dollar exposure of a single trade as a percentage of the total portfolio. Ordertune publishes results at three position-size scenarios (3% conservative, 5% standard, 7.5% progressive). The signals are identical across scenarios — only the dollar-per-trade scales.
Frequently Asked
Questions About Ordertune's Trading Performance
The most common questions we receive about how the displayed returns are calculated, what they include, and what they do not. Every answer is consistent with the dataset rendered above; if a number on this page disagrees with an answer below, the answer is wrong and we should hear about it.
The Ordertune Performance Matrix combines two regimes. The historical equity curve from 2015 to 2021 is reconstructed from backtested signals on the exact strategy logic that runs in production today, including realistic slippage and commission assumptions on Nasdaq 100 constituents. From 2022 onward the curve transitions to live, time-stamped signals emitted nightly to subscribers and persisted in our public ledger. Every trade in the ledger from 2022-01-01 onward has an immutable signal timestamp that pre-dates the corresponding entry price — there is no „after-the-fact“ optimisation. Trades and signals shown on the page are not paper-traded fills from Ordertune’s own brokerage account; they are the subscriber-facing instructions plus the resulting realised arithmetic.
Strictly the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) constituents. The Nasdaq 100 was chosen because it is the most liquid equity universe in the world by dollar volume, which collapses slippage and bid-ask spreads to near zero for retail order sizes. The NDX also has a clear, public reconstitution calendar, so every backtested signal can be re-verified by a third party using any standard data vendor. No futures, no FX, no crypto, no OTC pink sheets — by design.
The same signals are re-weighted at the new position size, the trade-level returns are re-aggregated into a daily portfolio return series, and the CAGR is recomputed as the geometric-mean annualised rate of the resulting equity curve. Changing the position-size scenario does not regenerate signals or re-run a backtest — it only changes the dollar exposure per trade. This is why the 7.5% Progressive scenario shows a higher CAGR and a deeper max drawdown than the 3.0% Conservative scenario: same underlying alpha, different leverage.
Yes. The historical equity curve embeds an explicit per-trade cost assumption of 0.05% per round trip covering both commissions and slippage. This is conservative for the Nasdaq 100 universe at retail size at modern discount brokerages, which typically pay zero commission and trade against tight spreads. For institutional-size accounts we recommend running your own slippage assumption — but the published numbers should not flatter retail subscribers.
This page is the aggregate view: equity curve, monthly matrix, Sharpe, drawdown, exposure, and the nine-strategy ensemble result. The separate Trading Ledger is the per-trade view: every closed position with ticker, dates, prices, return, holding period, and originating model. They reconcile by construction — the ledger is the input series from which the performance aggregates are computed.
The equity curve directly overlays QQQ on the same chart. The structural difference is exposure: the Ordertune long-only portfolio averages around 24% market exposure (it is fully invested less than a quarter of the trading days), versus 100% for buy-and-hold QQQ. The system is therefore not designed to beat QQQ in a sustained low-volatility melt-up — it is designed to compound at a competitive rate with most of the capital not in the market most of the time, which is what produces the favourable Sharpe and MAR ratios. Over the full measurement window the long-only portfolio outperforms QQQ on absolute return; over short windows it can and does underperform.
Approximately, yes — within the bounds of execution variance. Ordertune publishes signals after the U.S. equity market close; subscribers place orders at the open of the following trading day. Realised fills will deviate from the published entry prices by a small amount based on overnight gap risk and your broker’s order routing. The published equity curve uses the executed open price on the day after the signal. For the most conservative replication assumption, model an additional 5–10 basis points of slippage per trade on top of the in-curve assumption.
Because a single „headline return“ is misleading. A retail trader with $25,000 of risk capital has a fundamentally different position-size economics than a $250,000 account, and a different drawdown tolerance again. Publishing three scenarios (3% conservative, 5% standard, 7.5% progressive) lets every reader pick the configuration that matches their own risk budget and behavioural ceiling, instead of taking our preferred sizing on faith. The 5% Standard scenario is the one referenced in the headline KPIs because it is the median configuration of our active subscriber base.
At the 5% Standard position size, the worst peak-to-trough decline in the published equity curve is approximately -10.5%. At 7.5% Progressive the figure scales roughly proportionally to about -16%. These numbers are not pleasant to live through in real time, and the Performance Matrix is explicit about which calendar month the drawdown occurred — most max-drawdown windows compressed into a single quarter rather than dragging across years.
Daily, after the U.S. equity market close. New closed trades are appended to the ledger as positions are exited, the monthly cell for the current month is re-aggregated, and the equity-curve datapoint for the current day is published. There is no manual review step between trade close and publication — the data pipeline runs end-to-end without an editorial layer.
No. Past performance — including this performance — is not a guarantee of future returns. Systematic trading strategies are derived from historical statistical regularities that can erode as markets evolve, as participant behaviour adapts, and as structural regime changes occur. Ordertune’s specific defence against this is the nine-strategy ensemble: nine orthogonal edges are less likely to all decay simultaneously than any single one. But probability is not certainty. Trade only with risk capital, validate independently, and size for the drawdown you can tolerate behaviourally — not the one you want intellectually.
System over Luck
Ready to beat the market?One Plan. All Signals.
Three different Plans. One Goal. Your Choice.
Core Exposure
Long Only. Manual Execution. Monthly
$79
- 9 Long-Only Strategies
- Ordertune Terminal (Read-Only)
- Manual Execution (Click-to-Copy Orders)
- Nasdaq 100 Focus
- Recommended from $10k Trading Capital
- Cancel Monthly
The Foundation. Start with Discipline.
Core is your entry into systematic trading. Nine long-only strategies are designed to capture Nasdaq 100 trends without the complexity of shorting. Every signal — every entry, every exit — appears in your Ordertune Terminal. Execution stays fully in your hands: you copy the orders into your broker manually.
The Reality: Manual execution means real-time involvement on signal days. For a starter or learning portfolio, that is entirely manageable. As your capital grows, the friction grows with it — and Advanced becomes the natural next step. We don’t sell financial advice; we sell a clear, repeatable protocol that you decide to follow.
Advanced
Long & Short. Automated Execution. Monthly
$229
- 17 Long & Short Strategies
- Ordertune Terminal (Full Access)
- Automated Execution via IBKR, Tradier & Alpaca
- Nasdaq 100 Focus
- Recommended from $50k Trading Capital
- Cancel Monthly
The Professional Standard. Decoupled from the Index.
Seventeen long and short strategies give you market-neutral exposure designed to smooth the equity curve and generate returns regardless of market direction. Signals route directly to Interactive Brokers, Tradier, or Alpaca via API — no copy-paste, no missed fills, no slippage from manual delay. Your job ends with adherence; ours begins with execution.
The Requirement: You will short stocks while the headlines scream „to the moon.“ You will trust the math when it feels wrong. Advanced isn’t for those who need to be right; it’s for those who need to be profitable. A margin-enabled brokerage account is required for shorting, and emotional maturity is non-negotiable.
Institutional Alpha
Full Strategy Suite. Built for Scale. Monthly
$479
- Full Strategy Portfolio (Long & Short)
- Additional Diversification Strategies for Larger Books
- Ordertune Terminal + Priority Support
- Automated Execution via IBKR, Tradier & Alpaca
- Nasdaq 100 Focus
- Recommended from $200k Trading Capital
- Cancel Monthly
Built for Capital that Outgrows Single-Strategy Risk.
At higher capital levels, the same strategy set produces larger absolute positions — and concentration, slippage and market impact start eating into your edge. Institutional Alpha solves this with the full strategy portfolio: long and short setups across additional uncorrelated strategies, built specifically for diversification at scale. More strategies, smaller per-position exposure, smoother equity curve.
Who This Is For: This service is for serious capital, not aspirational accounts. Below $200k, Advanced delivers the same alpha core without paying for diversification you don’t yet need. Above that threshold, Institutional is where the math starts working in your favor. Margin-enabled brokerage account required for shorting, 100% adherence to the protocol expected.

